Monday, 22 July 2013

What is Happening around the world!!!

What is Ben Bernanke doing?
  • He doesn’t want any of his word to break the market down; so he chooses his words carefully when he speaks
  • He is concern over the US inflation rate of less than 2% even with so much of QE – this would be scary because US might end up like Japan – DEFLATION
  • He is concern over employment – the fortune 500 Companies are doing well with all this QE but they are not employing enough to make a difference is the employment – he wants it to go to 6.5%
  • He is also concern over the US Consolidated data which he wants it to be more consistent
  • He is also concern over the US Stock market sudden crash like the one in 2008 – if too drastic monetary policies is made
What is in the pipeline?
  • Reducing the QE is an important part of slowing down easy money and stop creating a deflation soon if they don’t do it
  • Borrowing cost should not be too low
  • Interest Rate adjustment soon
  • Ensuring the unemployment rate to 6.5 by end of this year
In Conclusion
  • Start buying USD for Long Term investment
  • Unload commo Stocks if you have any
  • Unload Australia Dollar
  • Unload GOLD and related ETF’s
  • Unload Banks Stocks
  • Buy Japanese Stocks – with Cheap Yen
  • Buy Australia Stocks w – with cheap Aussie Dollars
  • Be ready to Short S&P 500 & Oil- Signs of Slowing down are already here


What is Mario thinking?
  • Reduce interest rate further to stay competitive?
  • Will he be able to solve Unemployment rate in Europe as a Whole?
  • Will he be able to handle Spain, Italy, Greece & France crisis which is on the line to burst?
  • Will he start a currency War with other countries?
  • Will he be able to pay all the bonds that have been sold – or is he creating deeper grave?
In Conclusion
  • I don’t see any future in Europe
  • I don’t see any reason for me to buy EURO
  • I don’t see why Euro will allow their currency to be strong and damage their economy further
  • Sell Euro on all New High
  • Sell Euro on any bad news
  
What is the Prime Minister Rudd of Australia Thinking?
  • Will he be able to bring the country Debt down?
  • Will he be able to stay competitive with China slowing down?
  • Will he be able to maintain the country GDP & EMPLOYMENT on track?
In Conclusion
  • He together with Glenn Stevens WILL do anything possible to keep the Aussie down to 0.70cts against USD to stay competitive
  • He will have do more to stay competitive as their biggest investor China IS SOON GOING TO SQUEEZE the banks with easy borrowings
  • If the China Bubble burst that could crash the AUSSIE DOLLAR – I am always at “Short Position” for any new high for Aud
  
What is Abe – the Prime Minister of Japan thinking?
  • He will and ensure that Japan reached 2% inflation and get out of Deflation
  • He will win the election today and push ASO & KURODA to do more
  • He is focusing on Growth and not on the weakness of the currency – which is impossible – without JPY being weak they can’t and never be competitive in this market
  • He will push BOJ to do more soon

In Conclusion
  • The USD/JPY will hit 115 by end of this year or earlier
  • Nikkei Index will cross 20,000 by end of this year – with Cheap JPY – as many will buy into Japanese stocks that has value rather than keeping cash which is going to depreciate – just like the US Stock Market 0 when the USD was cheap
  • Borrowers will return USD dollar back to the FED and start borrowing from Japan

What is China Prime Minister Thinking?
  • Will they really going to reform the financial industry in China?
  • Will they slow down easy borrowings?
  • Will they be able to keep the 7.5% GDP growth for the next 6 months?
  • Is he handling the Property bubble well or will he not?
  • Will he allow the Yuan to rise and be the Reserve Currency in 10 to 15 Years time
In Conclusion
  • China is slowing down and be ready for more shocks that is in the Pipeline
  • China Slowdown will surely affect everyone around the world and not the US
  • China problem ripple is going to be 5 times worst than the Lehman Brother issue
  • Asia will not be spared
  • Have enough money to grab cheap properties across Asia soon
  • Sell AUD at all new highs

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